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Red10
205922.2
141313.7
519015.0
Blue41
407321.4
32297.7
319614.2
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413902060801041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.9
18.217.3
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
red by 0.8
21.40.1
20.220.1
Auto0.6
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
5190
#32
15.01.4
12.911.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 0.8
3196
#31
14.20.1
15.014.9
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
1413
#33
13.71.4
9.17.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 6.0
3229
#37
7.70.1
7.77.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0