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Qual 772015 North Carolina Regional
Red32
373710.3
58716.2
205922.2
Blue47
456115.7
544612.4
551815.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40382060803247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#8
22.20.4
17.3→16.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
red by 6.5
4561
#34
15.70.3
15.3→15.6
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
587
#16
16.20.4
11.5→11.0
Auto0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 0.9
5518
#11
15.20.5
13.1→13.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
3737
#27
10.30.6
11.8→11.2
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 2.1
5446
#28
12.40.5
12.2→12.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0