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Red16
264016.3
319614.2
379610.2
Blue31
407321.4
4359.9
56077.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3736102030405060701631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
#19
16.31.0
11.610.6
Auto0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 5.1
21.40.0
20.120.0
Auto0.6
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
3196
#31
14.21.5
14.913.4
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 4.3
435
#41
9.90.0
10.410.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.1
End0.0
Third
3796
#36
10.21.5
10.48.9
Auto0.0
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 2.7
5607
#40
7.50.1
7.47.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0