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Red35
429013.5
376311.9
453410.8
Blue22
516021.8
264115.3
32708.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294901001503522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#15
13.50.1
13.013.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 8.3
21.81.4
21.420.0
Auto0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Second
3763
#29
11.90.1
11.211.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 3.4
2641
#26
15.31.0
17.016.0
Auto0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
4534
#25
10.80.1
8.88.9
Auto0.5
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 2.0
3270
#39
8.81.4
8.97.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0