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Qual 872015 North Carolina Regional
Red25
56077.5
264221.4
36616.4
Blue28
554413.4
544612.4
37015.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35290102040506070802528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#13
21.40.1
21.3→21.5
Auto0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 8.0
5544
#14
13.40.2
12.3→12.1
Auto0.7
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Second
5607
#40
7.50.1
7.4→7.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 4.9
5446
#28
12.40.2
12.7→12.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
3661
#44
6.40.1
6.2→6.4
Auto0.4
Teleop6.0
End0.0
red by 0.8
3701
#50
5.60.2
5.8→5.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.7
End0.0