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Red36
429013.5
32156.0
268212.8
Blue14
48297.6
47956.4
373710.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312501020405060703614

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4290
#15
13.50.3
13.113.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
3737
#27
10.30.9
11.210.3
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Second
2682
#20
12.80.3
12.112.5
Auto0.3
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 5.3
4829
#51
7.60.9
8.47.6
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0
Third
3215
#45
6.00.3
5.66.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4795
#49
6.40.9
7.36.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0