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Red25
482812.7
345918.7
42915.4
Blue35
397124.6
567911.8
33316.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3838253035402535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3459
#17
18.70.7
19.118.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 5.9
24.60.3
19.819.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
4828
#23
12.70.9
13.612.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 0.9
5679
#22
11.80.3
12.111.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
4291
#42
5.40.9
6.45.4
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 1.4
3331
#38
6.90.3
7.16.9
Auto0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0