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Red182
217057.4
176867.3
112446.1
Blue174
23736.0
50145.7
346754.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17812250100150200250300182174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.30.1
68.868.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop67.7
End0.0
red by 12.3
3467
#21
54.90.6
54.555.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.3
End0.0
Second
57.40.1
58.959.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop58.1
End0.0
red by 11.7
501
#9
45.70.6
45.245.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0
Third
1124
#34
46.10.1
47.647.7
Auto2.1
Teleop44.0
End0.0
red by 10.1
237
#38
36.00.6
35.536.1
Auto0.3
Teleop35.7
End0.0