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Red216
110040.2
17558.8
23650.8
Blue138
217057.4
176867.3
112446.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133174050100150200250300350216138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#6
58.81.2
57.058.2
Auto2.8
Teleop56.1
End0.0
blue by 8.5
67.30.6
68.467.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop67.7
End0.0
Second
236
#22
50.81.2
49.050.2
Auto7.7
Teleop43.2
End0.0
blue by 6.6
57.40.6
58.557.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop58.1
End0.0
Third
1100
#44
40.21.2
38.539.6
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0
blue by 5.8
1124
#34
46.10.6
47.246.6
Auto2.1
Teleop44.0
End0.0