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Red202
19581.3
1519102.6
206759.9
Blue123
24651.3
8850.5
12552.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26013250100150200300350400202123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.60.7
104.5103.8
Auto16.0
Teleop86.6
End0.0
red by 50.5
125
#25
52.10.5
53.252.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop52.5
End0.0
Second
195
#2
81.30.7
83.182.5
Auto-1.9
Teleop83.1
End0.0
red by 30.0
246
#24
51.30.5
52.351.9
Auto5.1
Teleop46.2
End0.0
Third
2067
#14
59.90.7
61.861.1
Auto0.8
Teleop59.1
End0.0
red by 9.4
88
#11
50.50.5
51.651.1
Auto1.1
Teleop49.4
End0.0