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Red148
217057.4
176867.3
112446.1
Blue119
24651.3
8850.5
12552.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174146100200250148119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.30.5
68.968.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop67.7
End0.0
red by 15.2
125
#25
52.10.6
52.752.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop52.5
End0.0
Second
57.40.5
59.058.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop58.1
End0.0
red by 6.1
246
#24
51.30.6
51.951.3
Auto5.1
Teleop46.2
End0.0
Third
1124
#34
46.10.5
47.747.3
Auto2.1
Teleop44.0
End0.0
blue by 4.4
88
#11
50.50.6
51.150.5
Auto1.1
Teleop49.4
End0.0