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Red214
19581.3
1519102.6
206759.9
Blue144
23736.0
50145.7
346754.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26210950150200300350400214144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.60.6
103.8103.3
Auto16.0
Teleop86.6
End0.0
red by 47.7
3467
#21
54.90.1
55.155.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.3
End0.0
Second
195
#2
81.30.6
82.581.9
Auto-1.9
Teleop83.1
End0.0
red by 35.5
501
#9
45.70.1
45.946.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0
Third
2067
#14
59.90.6
61.160.5
Auto0.8
Teleop59.1
End0.0
red by 23.9
237
#38
36.00.1
36.136.3
Auto0.3
Teleop35.7
End0.0