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Red168
13349.7
23057.2
206438.0
Blue184
456454.2
283653.4
16641.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13314005001,0001,500168184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#23
57.21.4
53.655.1
Auto3.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
red by 3.0
4564
#13
54.22.0
53.755.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
Second
133
#39
49.71.4
50.351.7
Auto0.9
Teleop48.7
End0.0
blue by 3.7
53.42.0
52.954.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop53.8
End0.0
Third
2064
#28
38.01.4
35.136.6
Auto1.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
blue by 3.0
166
#47
41.02.0
37.639.6
Auto1.6
Teleop39.4
End0.0