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Red156
206759.9
31941.6
512250.8
Blue164
9528.8
105839.0
50145.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15889050200250156164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#14
59.90.5
63.263.7
Auto0.8
Teleop59.1
End0.0
red by 14.2
501
#9
45.73.0
40.243.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0
Second
5122
#20
50.80.5
49.149.6
Auto0.4
Teleop50.4
End0.0
red by 11.9
1058
#37
39.03.0
35.338.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Third
319
#17
41.60.5
40.240.7
Auto8.7
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 12.8
95
#51
28.83.0
27.630.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.1
End0.0