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Red132
371827.3
12552.1
24651.3
Blue66
346433.9
21329.4
314653.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291195010015020013266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#25
52.10.0
53.353.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop52.5
End0.0
blue by 1.1
53.23.0
55.652.6
Auto0.6
Teleop52.6
End0.0
Second
246
#24
51.30.0
49.049.1
Auto5.1
Teleop46.2
End0.0
red by 17.3
3464
#31
33.93.0
36.033.1
Auto1.8
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
3718
#54
27.30.0
29.429.4
Auto1.9
Teleop25.5
End0.0
blue by 2.1
213
#45
29.43.0
33.530.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0