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Red100
264827.4
476131.7
17645.4
Blue106
66326.9
109936.9
88541.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10298708090110120130100106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#42
45.40.2
43.443.2
Auto1.1
Teleop44.3
End0.0
red by 3.5
885
#40
41.90.2
41.541.7
Auto0.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
Second
4761
#57
31.70.2
31.931.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
blue by 5.1
1099
#48
36.90.2
35.335.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Third
2648
#58
27.40.2
29.529.3
Auto0.8
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 0.6
663
#55
26.90.2
25.325.5
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0