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Red104
88541.9
50145.7
17645.4
Blue106
371827.3
31941.6
110040.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098050100150200104106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#9
45.70.2
32.031.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0
red by 4.1
319
#17
41.60.9
26.227.2
Auto8.7
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Second
176
#42
45.40.2
40.840.6
Auto1.1
Teleop44.3
End0.0
red by 5.1
1100
#44
40.20.9
31.432.3
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Third
885
#40
41.90.2
35.935.7
Auto0.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
red by 14.6
3718
#54
27.30.9
29.530.5
Auto1.9
Teleop25.5
End0.0