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Red104
13349.7
264827.4
13832.6
Blue150
12651.7
393040.3
5855.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108136050150200250104150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#39
49.70.6
47.146.4
Auto0.9
Teleop48.7
End0.0
blue by 5.6
58
#30
55.30.7
52.353.0
Auto0.8
Teleop54.5
End0.0
Second
138
#60
32.60.6
39.538.9
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0
blue by 19.1
126
#16
51.70.7
44.545.2
Auto0.6
Teleop51.1
End0.0
Third
2648
#58
27.40.6
29.829.2
Auto0.8
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 12.8
3930
#49
40.30.7
39.740.4
Auto0.6
Teleop39.7
End0.0