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Red102
287635.3
105839.0
23650.8
Blue81
112446.1
405548.6
490938.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8911505015020025010281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#22
50.80.3
41.942.1
Auto7.7
Teleop43.2
End0.0
red by 2.2
4055
#32
48.61.7
43.141.4
Auto1.4
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Second
1058
#37
39.00.3
27.527.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop39.6
End0.0
blue by 7.1
1124
#34
46.11.7
36.835.1
Auto2.1
Teleop44.0
End0.0
Third
2876
#33
35.30.3
27.227.5
Auto1.2
Teleop34.1
End0.0
blue by 3.6
4909
#41
38.91.7
35.333.5
Auto1.8
Teleop37.1
End0.0