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Red178
234259.4
346754.9
81135.5
Blue144
8850.5
404848.0
23057.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118139050100200250300178144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#12
59.42.9
54.257.1
Auto8.3
Teleop51.1
End0.0
red by 2.2
230
#23
57.20.2
60.560.7
Auto3.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
Second
3467
#21
54.92.9
40.443.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.3
End0.0
red by 4.5
88
#11
50.50.2
41.241.4
Auto1.1
Teleop49.4
End0.0
Third
811
#50
35.52.9
31.234.1
Auto1.3
Teleop34.2
End0.0
blue by 12.5
4048
#27
48.00.2
38.738.9
Auto1.4
Teleop46.6
End0.0