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Red146
15545.7
393040.3
17828.6
Blue163
50145.7
6148.6
81135.5
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102122050150200250300146163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#15
45.71.8
43.945.7
Auto2.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
blue by 2.8
61
#18
48.62.0
46.648.6
Auto1.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
3930
#49
40.31.8
38.440.3
Auto0.6
Teleop39.7
End0.0
blue by 5.4
501
#9
45.72.0
43.345.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0
Third
178
#56
28.61.8
26.828.6
Auto2.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 6.9
811
#50
35.52.0
33.635.5
Auto1.3
Teleop34.2
End0.0