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Red149
16641.0
109936.9
112446.1
Blue180
512250.8
405548.6
234259.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110157050200250300149180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1124
#34
46.11.4
46.247.6
Auto2.1
Teleop44.0
End0.0
blue by 13.3
2342
#12
59.41.2
58.159.4
Auto8.3
Teleop51.1
End0.0
Second
166
#47
41.01.4
39.641.0
Auto1.6
Teleop39.4
End0.0
blue by 9.8
5122
#20
50.81.2
49.650.8
Auto0.4
Teleop50.4
End0.0
Third
1099
#48
36.91.4
35.536.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
blue by 11.8
4055
#32
48.61.2
47.448.6
Auto1.4
Teleop47.2
End0.0