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Red112
490938.9
490531.4
12651.7
Blue210
217057.4
17645.4
176867.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110170050150200250300112210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#16
51.70.6
52.351.7
Auto0.6
Teleop51.1
End0.0
blue by 15.5
67.32.2
66.768.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop67.7
End0.0
Second
4909
#41
38.90.6
39.538.9
Auto1.8
Teleop37.1
End0.0
blue by 18.5
57.42.2
56.858.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop58.1
End0.0
Third
4905
#59
31.40.6
32.031.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop31.9
End0.0
blue by 13.9
176
#42
45.42.2
43.245.4
Auto1.1
Teleop44.3
End0.0