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Red168
110040.2
17558.8
23650.8
Blue150
99954.3
283653.4
13832.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13613280100120160180200168150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#6
58.80.6
54.955.5
Auto2.8
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 4.5
999
#10
54.30.2
53.854.0
Auto1.1
Teleop53.1
End0.0
Second
236
#22
50.80.6
46.947.5
Auto7.7
Teleop43.2
End0.0
blue by 2.5
53.40.2
52.953.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop53.8
End0.0
Third
1100
#44
40.20.6
36.336.9
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 7.6
138
#60
32.60.2
32.232.3
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0