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Red186
110040.2
17558.8
23650.8
Blue173
23736.0
50145.7
346754.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138132100120160180200186173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#6
58.80.7
56.357.0
Auto2.8
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 3.9
3467
#21
54.90.6
55.255.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.3
End0.0
Second
236
#22
50.80.7
48.349.0
Auto7.7
Teleop43.2
End0.0
red by 5.1
501
#9
45.70.6
46.046.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0
Third
1100
#44
40.20.7
37.738.5
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 4.3
237
#38
36.00.6
36.336.9
Auto0.3
Teleop35.7
End0.0