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Red112
23736.0
17828.6
568742.0
Blue155
109936.9
283653.4
314653.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74105050150200112155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#46
42.01.5
31.733.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.5
End0.0
blue by 11.3
53.42.6
36.839.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop53.8
End0.0
Second
237
#38
36.01.5
27.729.2
Auto0.3
Teleop35.7
End0.0
blue by 17.2
53.22.6
38.140.7
Auto0.6
Teleop52.6
End0.0
Third
178
#56
28.61.5
22.423.9
Auto2.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 8.2
1099
#48
36.92.6
28.631.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0