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Red128
456454.2
287753.1
476131.7
Blue207
12552.1
19581.3
6148.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107158050200250128207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#13
54.20.4
51.552.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
blue by 27.0
195
#2
81.32.6
66.068.6
Auto-1.9
Teleop83.1
End0.0
Second
53.10.4
41.441.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.2
End0.0
red by 1.0
125
#25
52.12.6
49.351.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop52.5
End0.0
Third
4761
#57
31.70.4
26.126.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
blue by 16.9
61
#18
48.62.6
40.342.8
Auto1.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0