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Red107
17558.8
173541.6
512250.8
Blue88
206759.9
107334.6
99954.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10713605020025030010788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#6
58.80.1
39.839.6
Auto2.8
Teleop56.1
End0.0
blue by 1.1
2067
#14
59.91.8
64.362.5
Auto0.8
Teleop59.1
End0.0
Second
5122
#20
50.80.1
41.040.9
Auto0.4
Teleop50.4
End0.0
blue by 3.5
999
#10
54.31.8
42.941.1
Auto1.1
Teleop53.1
End0.0
Third
1735
#43
41.60.1
34.934.8
Auto2.6
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 6.9
1073
#52
34.61.8
29.527.6
Auto1.0
Teleop33.6
End0.0