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Red141
217057.4
490531.4
15545.7
Blue87
17247.5
21329.4
206438.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114935015020014187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.41.3
50.651.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop58.1
End0.0
red by 9.9
172
#19
47.50.6
40.940.3
Auto1.5
Teleop46.0
End0.0
Second
155
#15
45.71.3
31.632.9
Auto2.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 7.8
2064
#28
38.00.6
31.731.0
Auto1.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Third
4905
#59
31.41.3
32.834.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop31.9
End0.0
red by 2.0
213
#45
29.40.7
27.426.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0