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Red106
404848.0
287753.1
13832.6
Blue168
314653.2
264827.4
176867.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711480100140160106168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.7
41.841.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.2
End0.0
blue by 14.2
67.32.4
50.452.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop67.7
End0.0
Second
4048
#27
48.00.7
38.938.2
Auto1.4
Teleop46.6
End0.0
blue by 5.1
53.22.4
40.743.1
Auto0.6
Teleop52.6
End0.0
Third
138
#60
32.60.7
38.938.2
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 5.2
2648
#58
27.42.4
29.231.6
Auto0.8
Teleop26.6
End0.0