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Red153
23057.2
55841.5
206759.9
Blue114
46730.7
88541.9
490938.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16479050100150200250153114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#14
59.90.2
62.562.3
Auto0.8
Teleop59.1
End0.0
red by 18.0
885
#40
41.90.9
35.736.6
Auto0.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
Second
230
#23
57.20.2
60.760.5
Auto3.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
red by 18.3
4909
#41
38.90.9
33.534.5
Auto1.8
Teleop37.1
End0.0
Third
558
#29
41.50.2
33.433.3
Auto0.7
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 10.8
467
#53
30.70.9
26.127.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.9
End0.0