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Red152
109936.9
8850.5
287635.3
Blue169
19581.3
105839.0
21329.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92124050150200250152169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#11
50.52.6
41.444.0
Auto1.1
Teleop49.4
End0.0
blue by 30.8
195
#2
81.32.6
68.671.2
Auto-1.9
Teleop83.1
End0.0
Second
1099
#48
36.92.6
31.233.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
blue by 2.1
1058
#37
39.02.6
27.830.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop39.6
End0.0
Third
2876
#33
35.32.6
27.530.1
Auto1.2
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 5.9
213
#45
29.42.6
26.729.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0