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Red174
393040.3
346754.9
24651.3
Blue124
15545.7
512250.8
23736.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1319450150200174124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#21
54.92.2
43.345.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.3
End0.0
red by 4.1
5122
#20
50.81.1
40.941.9
Auto0.4
Teleop50.4
End0.0
Second
246
#24
51.32.2
45.948.1
Auto5.1
Teleop46.2
End0.0
red by 5.5
155
#15
45.71.1
32.934.0
Auto2.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Third
3930
#49
40.32.2
40.442.6
Auto0.6
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
237
#38
36.01.1
29.230.2
Auto0.3
Teleop35.7
End0.0