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Red103
13349.7
66326.9
173541.6
Blue188
206438.0
1519102.6
573536.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86157050100200250103188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#39
49.70.1
46.446.6
Auto0.9
Teleop48.7
End0.0
blue by 53.0
102.61.8
94.496.2
Auto16.0
Teleop86.6
End0.0
Second
1735
#43
41.60.1
34.834.9
Auto2.6
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 3.6
2064
#28
38.01.8
31.032.8
Auto1.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Third
663
#55
26.90.1
19.219.4
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 10.0
5735
#36
36.91.8
26.428.2
Auto0.8
Teleop36.1
End0.0