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Red99
99954.3
216848.6
456454.2
Blue142
217057.4
16641.0
12651.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13113010012014016018099142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#10
54.31.7
41.139.3
Auto1.1
Teleop53.1
End0.0
blue by 3.1
57.40.3
51.952.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop58.1
End0.0
Second
4564
#13
54.21.7
52.050.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
red by 2.5
126
#16
51.70.3
45.245.5
Auto0.6
Teleop51.1
End0.0
Third
2168
#26
48.61.7
40.338.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 7.6
166
#47
41.00.3
39.639.9
Auto1.6
Teleop39.4
End0.0