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Red141
405548.6
12552.1
5855.3
Blue176
50145.7
17558.8
234259.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14512050100200141176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#30
55.30.3
53.052.7
Auto0.8
Teleop54.5
End0.0
blue by 4.1
2342
#12
59.42.4
57.159.5
Auto8.3
Teleop51.1
End0.0
Second
125
#25
52.10.3
51.851.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop52.5
End0.0
blue by 6.7
175
#6
58.82.4
39.642.0
Auto2.8
Teleop56.1
End0.0
Third
4055
#32
48.60.3
41.441.1
Auto1.4
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 2.9
501
#9
45.72.4
31.834.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0