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Red184
19581.3
568742.0
15545.7
Blue166
287753.1
66326.9
206759.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711550100150200184166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
81.32.3
71.273.5
Auto-1.9
Teleop83.1
End0.0
red by 21.4
2067
#14
59.92.2
62.364.5
Auto0.8
Teleop59.1
End0.0
Second
155
#15
45.72.3
34.036.2
Auto2.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
blue by 7.3
53.12.2
41.243.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.2
End0.0
Third
5687
#46
42.02.3
33.335.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.5
End0.0
red by 15.2
663
#55
26.92.2
19.421.5
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0