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Red124
105839.0
24651.3
109936.9
Blue134
393040.3
88541.9
490531.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10910795100115120125130124134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#24
51.30.6
48.148.7
Auto5.1
Teleop46.2
End0.0
red by 9.3
885
#40
41.91.2
36.637.8
Auto0.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
Second
1058
#37
39.00.6
30.431.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop39.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3930
#49
40.31.2
42.643.8
Auto0.6
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Third
1099
#48
36.90.6
33.834.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 5.4
4905
#59
31.41.2
31.632.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop31.9
End0.0