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Red126
23057.2
21329.4
176867.3
Blue174
17247.5
13349.7
6148.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14111950100150200126174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.30.8
52.852.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop67.7
End0.0
red by 17.6
133
#39
49.72.4
46.648.9
Auto0.9
Teleop48.7
End0.0
Second
230
#23
57.20.8
60.559.7
Auto3.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
red by 8.6
61
#18
48.62.4
40.843.1
Auto1.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Third
213
#45
29.40.8
29.328.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 18.1
172
#19
47.52.4
39.241.6
Auto1.5
Teleop46.0
End0.0