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Red198
31941.6
17558.8
490938.9
Blue120
456454.2
264827.4
371827.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99109050150200250300350400198120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#6
58.84.7
42.046.7
Auto2.8
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 4.6
4564
#13
54.20.7
50.251.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
Second
319
#17
41.64.7
27.332.0
Auto8.7
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 14.2
2648
#58
27.40.7
31.632.3
Auto0.8
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Third
4909
#41
38.94.7
34.539.2
Auto1.8
Teleop37.1
End0.0
red by 11.6
3718
#54
27.30.7
29.430.1
Auto1.9
Teleop25.5
End0.0