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Red103
404848.0
23736.0
234259.4
Blue110
110040.2
216848.6
1519102.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11516950100150200250103110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#12
59.41.2
59.558.2
Auto8.3
Teleop51.1
End0.0
blue by 43.2
102.62.8
96.293.4
Auto16.0
Teleop86.6
End0.0
Second
4048
#27
48.01.2
38.236.9
Auto1.4
Teleop46.6
End0.0
blue by 0.6
2168
#26
48.62.8
38.635.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Third
237
#38
36.01.2
30.229.0
Auto0.3
Teleop35.7
End0.0
blue by 4.3
1100
#44
40.22.8
31.628.8
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0