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Red100
23650.8
405548.6
12651.7
Blue161
512250.8
346754.9
346433.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1289550150200100161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#16
51.71.4
45.544.1
Auto0.6
Teleop51.1
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3467
#21
54.92.8
45.548.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.3
End0.0
Second
236
#22
50.81.4
41.039.7
Auto7.7
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Level
5122
#20
50.82.8
41.944.8
Auto0.4
Teleop50.4
End0.0
Third
4055
#32
48.61.4
41.139.8
Auto1.4
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 14.7
3464
#31
33.92.8
16.619.4
Auto1.8
Teleop32.1
End0.0