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Red138
81135.5
12552.1
55841.5
Blue169
573536.9
287635.3
217057.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161056080140160180138169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#25
52.11.0
51.652.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop52.5
End0.0
blue by 5.3
57.42.9
52.155.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop58.1
End0.0
Second
558
#29
41.51.0
33.334.3
Auto0.7
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 4.6
5735
#36
36.92.9
28.231.1
Auto0.8
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Third
811
#50
35.51.0
33.434.4
Auto1.3
Teleop34.2
End0.0
red by 0.2
2876
#33
35.32.9
30.133.0
Auto1.2
Teleop34.1
End0.0