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Red144
476131.7
173541.6
176867.3
Blue178
568742.0
314653.2
8850.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108126050150200250300144178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.31.5
52.053.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop67.7
End0.0
red by 14.1
53.22.5
45.748.2
Auto0.6
Teleop52.6
End0.0
Second
1735
#43
41.61.5
34.235.7
Auto2.6
Teleop39.0
End0.0
blue by 8.9
88
#11
50.52.5
46.148.7
Auto1.1
Teleop49.4
End0.0
Third
4761
#57
31.71.5
28.129.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
blue by 10.3
5687
#46
42.02.5
35.638.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.5
End0.0