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Red70
66326.9
13832.6
490531.4
Blue169
490938.9
50145.7
17342.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8311105015020025030070169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#60
32.61.0
36.035.0
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0
blue by 13.1
501
#9
45.72.9
36.139.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0
Second
4905
#59
31.41.0
32.731.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop31.9
End0.0
blue by 10.7
173
#35
42.12.9
35.638.5
Auto1.7
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Third
663
#55
26.91.0
21.520.5
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 12.0
4909
#41
38.92.9
39.242.1
Auto1.8
Teleop37.1
End0.0