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Red182
173541.6
206759.9
346754.9
Blue191
176867.3
50145.7
283653.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150127100200250182191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#14
59.91.8
66.067.8
Auto0.8
Teleop59.1
End0.0
blue by 7.4
67.32.8
53.556.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop67.7
End0.0
Second
3467
#21DQ
54.91.8
50.151.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.3
End0.0
red by 1.6
53.42.8
43.246.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop53.8
End0.0
Third
1735
#43
41.61.8
35.737.5
Auto2.6
Teleop39.0
End0.0
blue by 4.2
501
#9
45.72.8
39.041.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0