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Red182
371827.3
314653.2
1519102.6
Blue127
16641.0
490531.4
405548.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1809450150200250300182127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.60.5
95.195.6
Auto16.0
Teleop86.6
End0.0
red by 54.0
4055
#32
48.60.8
41.342.1
Auto1.4
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Second
53.20.5
48.248.7
Auto0.6
Teleop52.6
End0.0
red by 12.2
166
#47
41.00.8
38.239.0
Auto1.6
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Third
3718
#54
27.30.5
29.229.7
Auto1.9
Teleop25.5
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4905
#59
31.40.8
31.732.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop31.9
End0.0