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Red144
13349.7
55841.5
17342.1
Blue114
287753.1
17645.4
105839.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120105406080140160180200144114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#39
49.71.1
50.451.5
Auto0.9
Teleop48.7
End0.0
blue by 3.4
53.10.1
43.944.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.2
End0.0
Second
173
#35
42.11.1
38.539.6
Auto1.7
Teleop40.5
End0.0
blue by 3.2
176
#42
45.40.1
35.936.0
Auto1.1
Teleop44.3
End0.0
Third
558
#29
41.51.1
33.434.5
Auto0.7
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 2.5
1058
#37
39.00.1
31.832.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop39.6
End0.0