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Red138
568742.0
99954.3
346433.9
Blue121
287635.3
6148.6
88541.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991110200300400500600138121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#10
54.31.7
42.744.4
Auto1.1
Teleop53.1
End0.0
red by 5.7
61
#18
48.60.4
42.242.6
Auto1.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
5687
#46
42.01.7
38.139.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.5
End0.0
red by 0.1
885
#40
41.90.4
38.238.6
Auto0.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
Third
3464
#31
33.91.7
23.525.2
Auto1.8
Teleop32.1
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2876
#33
35.30.4
33.033.4
Auto1.2
Teleop34.1
End0.0