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Red81
476131.7
55841.5
5855.3
Blue124
13832.6
173541.6
23650.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119107608010014016081124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#30
55.30.8
54.153.2
Auto0.8
Teleop54.5
End0.0
red by 4.5
236
#22
50.80.6
46.046.6
Auto7.7
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Second
558
#29
41.50.8
34.333.5
Auto0.7
Teleop40.8
End0.0
Level
1735
#43
41.60.6
35.936.4
Auto2.6
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
4761
#57
31.70.8
33.032.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
blue by 0.9
138
#60
32.60.6
30.831.3
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0